Russia has officially invaded Ukraine

[Cooke 2,030]

You guys are so fucking dumb. UKRAINE IS  NOT GOING TO WIN!! THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO WIN. THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO EVEN OPERATE THE WEAPONS THEY ARE GIVEN. WHY PROLONG THE INNEVITBLE? JUST ADMIT YOU DONT GIVE A SHIT ABOUT HUMAN LIFE. 

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

^Imagine getting that upset over a bit of a aid to a country defending itself against a genocidal neighbor who has already voiced their intentions to continue the war and has no interest in peace.

 

Im convinced Cooke's ex must have cheated on him with a Ukrainian or something.

[Hot Sauce 2,734]

17 hours ago, Cooke said:

You guys are so fucking dumb. UKRAINE IS  NOT GOING TO WIN!! THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO WIN. THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO EVEN OPERATE THE WEAPONS THEY ARE GIVEN. WHY PROLONG THE INNEVITBLE? JUST ADMIT YOU DONT GIVE A SHIT ABOUT HUMAN LIFE. 

 

I don't even know who you're performing for. This place is like the same 6 people.

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

23 hours ago, Cooke said:

You guys are so fucking dumb. UKRAINE IS  NOT GOING TO WIN!! THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO WIN. THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO EVEN OPERATE THE WEAPONS THEY ARE GIVEN. WHY PROLONG THE INNEVITBLE? JUST ADMIT YOU DONT GIVE A SHIT ABOUT HUMAN LIFE. 

The MIC and lobbyists making money of this don't care who is going to win.

 

 

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Till the last Ukranian in the European Union.

 

❗️Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba admitted that he personally ordered to limit consular services for Ukrainians abroad

 “What it looks like now: a man of military age went abroad, showed his state that the question of his survival does not concern him, and then comes and wants to receive services from this state,” writes Kuleba.

 He added that Ukraine will not provide services to its citizens abroad because they have shown their indifference to the issue of the survival of the state.

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Watch all the elves swallow their pride and go to Mordor to get Russian citizenship asap so they don't get kicked out of the EU to trenches in Ukraine.

 

🇺🇦🇵🇱Ukrainians storm the consulate in Warsaw

 There are huge queues at the Warsaw passport center after the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry decided to stop providing consular services to men.

 Men are not given ready-made passports, under the pretext that “the system does not work.”  Everything works for children and women.

 Earlier, the Ukrainian consulate in Poland confirmed that it had suspended the provision of services to men of military age.

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Prison or eat artillery and glide bombs in a trench?

 

There is not enough space in Ukrainian prisons to transfer all draft dodgers and deserters, - lawyer Demchenko, citing the official response of the Ministry of Justice

 The response states that in Ukraine there are 100 penal service institutions, which can accommodate 78,763 people.  There are already 44,861 people seated in them, which means there is room left for 33,902 people.

 “Then a logical question arises. What to do with all the draft dodgers? What to do with all the deserters, sezecheshniki (who left the military unit without permission). What to do with the thousands of those criminal proceedings that are now in the State Bureau of Investigation, the police and other law enforcement agencies?”  - Demchenko asks a question.

[David P 42]

On 2024-04-21 at 7:15 PM, Cooke said:

You guys are so fucking dumb. UKRAINE IS  NOT GOING TO WIN!! THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO WIN. THEY DONT HAVE THE MANPOWER TO EVEN OPERATE THE WEAPONS THEY ARE GIVEN. WHY PROLONG THE INNEVITBLE? JUST ADMIT YOU DONT GIVE A SHIT ABOUT HUMAN LIFE. 

Something like half of the aid package went to the US military industrial complex. 

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Russia is producing so many weapons that it has the ability to form whole new armies with hundreds of thousands of personel.

 

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said that Russia is now producing more weapons and ammunition than is necessary to conduct military operations in Ukraine.

Pistorius stated this, citing military experts and weapons specialists, n-tv channel reports.  According to the minister, Russia is currently increasing the production of weapons, the Russian military economy is streamlined, and most of what it now produces no longer goes to the front, but goes to warehouses, which may indicate the preparation of a new offensive by the Russian Armed Forces.

"Most or part of what is now produced no longer goes to the front, but ends up in warehouses. One can be naive and say that he [Vladimir Putin] is doing this only out of caution. As a skeptic, I would rather say that in  In this case, he's doing it because he's planning something or perhaps has something in mind," Pistorius said.

"Military Informant"

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

 

Aza are you also going to jump off the sinking ship?

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

Russian state TV actually made a song glorifying and praising death in this war. What a backwater shithole of a country this must be, when life has this little value to them.

 

 

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

2 hours ago, Playstation Tablet said:

Russia is producing so many weapons that it has the ability to form whole new armies with hundreds of thousands of personel.

 

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said that Russia is now producing more weapons and ammunition than is necessary to conduct military operations in Ukraine.

Pistorius stated this, citing military experts and weapons specialists, n-tv channel reports.  According to the minister, Russia is currently increasing the production of weapons, the Russian military economy is streamlined, and most of what it now produces no longer goes to the front, but goes to warehouses, which may indicate the preparation of a new offensive by the Russian Armed Forces.

"Most or part of what is now produced no longer goes to the front, but ends up in warehouses. One can be naive and say that he [Vladimir Putin] is doing this only out of caution. As a skeptic, I would rather say that in  In this case, he's doing it because he's planning something or perhaps has something in mind," Pistorius said.

"Military Informant"

 

Lol this is not remotely accurate. They're literally using shitty chinese made golf carts with no armor or protection of any kind ON THE FRONTLINES because of vehicle shortages, but somehow they have warehouses full of spare equipment and munitions? Riiiiight.

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

The offensive seems to be accelerating.

 

 

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Very impressive for an army which has: 500.000 casualties a day.

Fights with shovels.

Sends Suicide Meatwave attacks.

Uses Washing machine micro chips.

No ammunition.

Only inexperienced recruits.

Found a pipe.

1950's equipment.

Uses golf carts

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

🇺🇦🏴‍☠️The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine notified NATO of the difficult operational-strategic situation at the front, which tends to escalate

 “I informed the coalition participants about the complex operational-strategic situation, which tends to escalate; the specifics of the enemy’s airstrikes against energy infrastructure; about our urgent needs for missiles, ammunition, weapons, military equipment and the key role of their timely arrival,” Syrsky said  about his speech at the 21st meeting on the defense capability of Ukraine at Ramstein Air Base.

[Playstation Tablet 1,729]

Even the super pro Ukr resetera is admitting 2024 is lost, and a magic 2025 recovery is unlikely.

 

Manpower has become the most pressing issue though, which was exacerbated by reduced deliveries of ammunition and equipment over the winter. Ukraine's summer offensive primarily culminated when it ran out of infantry, and Ukraine has struggled to replace combat losses since then. 9/

This means that Ukrainian brigades are understrength, and Ukraine lacks sufficient reserves to respond to Russian advances, so units are pulled from one part of the front to attempt to stop advances elsewhere. Ukrainian infantry need to be rotated more often or there will be a growing risk of exhaustion. 10/

Ukraine has passed a new mobilization bill that provides incentives for volunteers and increases the pool of men available to be drafted. Hopefully, this will improve the manpower situation, but it will take time to mobilize and train soldiers/units. 11/

More concerning is that the manpower issue has been known for some time, but has not been fixed. The longer it takes to improve the manpower situation, the less likely it becomes that Ukraine can conduct a offensive in 2025. The new NATO-trained/equipped brigades last summer did not have enough time to train together, and Russian defenses will still be strong. New soldiers/units need to be mobilized to replace current losses and trained for 2025. 12/

At the same time, one of the most important factors in the war last year was that Russia was able to significantly improve its manpower situation, recruiting more than 300,000 volunteers. 13/

It isn't just involuntary mobilized soldiers and prisoners, they are mostly getting volunteers who are willing to go into costly assaults. The quality, of course, varies, but the quantitative advantage is a serious problem. 14/

Without this manpower advantage, Russia's artillery and airpower advantage would not be sufficient for Russia to make gains on the battlefield. The relative manpower situation is likely the most important factor that will determine the war's trajectory, particularly if Russia can sustain recruiting 20-30k a month. 15/

The immediate problem is that Russia continues to advance on the battlefield, and has reached important locations while Ukraine faced ammunition shortages. Russia is bringing up reserves to Chasiv Yar, and will likely soon begin an assault on the city. 16/

Russian forces are also expanding their foothold in Ocheretyne, which threatens Ukrainian positions nearby, and they have advanced into Krasnohrivka and have made recent gains on the Marinka-Novomykhailivka front. 17/

Even with increased ammunition deliveries/expenditure, Ukraine might not be able to hold Chasiv Yar and other of these towns/cities, and Russia faces more favorable terrain once they get past Chasiv Yar, which could lead to an increase in the rate of advance. If Chasiv Yar falls, it will also put Ukrainian positions south of the city at risk. This is true for further Russian advances elsewhere. The delays in aid/mobilization have been costly. 18/

If Ukraine can stabilize the front and fix the manpower situation in 2024 when Russia has a number of advantages, 2025 could be more favorable because Western production capacity will increase and Russian equipment losses could become a greater issue. If the manpower situation does not improve, then the second half of 2024 will likely be more difficult for Ukraine than the first half. 19/

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

14 hours ago, Playstation Tablet said:

Very impressive for an army which has: 500.000 casualties a day.

Fights with shovels.

Sends Suicide Meatwave attacks.

Uses Washing machine micro chips.

No ammunition.

Only inexperienced recruits.

Found a pipe.

1950's equipment.

Uses golf carts

 

Thousands of casualties to capture some completely destroyed villages that hold no strategic value. Congrats. Your ass of a country is throwing everything it possibly can without any regard for what that means in the long term. We know you're running out of essential equipment and will eventually run out of recruits willing to throw themselves off a cliff like lemmings.

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

11 hours ago, Playstation Tablet said:

Even the super pro Ukr resetera is admitting 2024 is lost, and a magic 2025 recovery is unlikely.

 

Manpower has become the most pressing issue though, which was exacerbated by reduced deliveries of ammunition and equipment over the winter. Ukraine's summer offensive primarily culminated when it ran out of infantry, and Ukraine has struggled to replace combat losses since then. 9/

This means that Ukrainian brigades are understrength, and Ukraine lacks sufficient reserves to respond to Russian advances, so units are pulled from one part of the front to attempt to stop advances elsewhere. Ukrainian infantry need to be rotated more often or there will be a growing risk of exhaustion. 10/

Ukraine has passed a new mobilization bill that provides incentives for volunteers and increases the pool of men available to be drafted. Hopefully, this will improve the manpower situation, but it will take time to mobilize and train soldiers/units. 11/

More concerning is that the manpower issue has been known for some time, but has not been fixed. The longer it takes to improve the manpower situation, the less likely it becomes that Ukraine can conduct a offensive in 2025. The new NATO-trained/equipped brigades last summer did not have enough time to train together, and Russian defenses will still be strong. New soldiers/units need to be mobilized to replace current losses and trained for 2025. 12/

At the same time, one of the most important factors in the war last year was that Russia was able to significantly improve its manpower situation, recruiting more than 300,000 volunteers. 13/

It isn't just involuntary mobilized soldiers and prisoners, they are mostly getting volunteers who are willing to go into costly assaults. The quality, of course, varies, but the quantitative advantage is a serious problem. 14/

Without this manpower advantage, Russia's artillery and airpower advantage would not be sufficient for Russia to make gains on the battlefield. The relative manpower situation is likely the most important factor that will determine the war's trajectory, particularly if Russia can sustain recruiting 20-30k a month. 15/

The immediate problem is that Russia continues to advance on the battlefield, and has reached important locations while Ukraine faced ammunition shortages. Russia is bringing up reserves to Chasiv Yar, and will likely soon begin an assault on the city. 16/

Russian forces are also expanding their foothold in Ocheretyne, which threatens Ukrainian positions nearby, and they have advanced into Krasnohrivka and have made recent gains on the Marinka-Novomykhailivka front. 17/

Even with increased ammunition deliveries/expenditure, Ukraine might not be able to hold Chasiv Yar and other of these towns/cities, and Russia faces more favorable terrain once they get past Chasiv Yar, which could lead to an increase in the rate of advance. If Chasiv Yar falls, it will also put Ukrainian positions south of the city at risk. This is true for further Russian advances elsewhere. The delays in aid/mobilization have been costly. 18/

If Ukraine can stabilize the front and fix the manpower situation in 2024 when Russia has a number of advantages, 2025 could be more favorable because Western production capacity will increase and Russian equipment losses could become a greater issue. If the manpower situation does not improve, then the second half of 2024 will likely be more difficult for Ukraine than the first half. 19/

 

There is nothing new here. We know Ukraine is going to be on the defensive for the foreseeable future. But its an effective strategy even if they lose some ground, because we all know Russia experiencing at the minimum 3-4x more losses is not remotely sustainable. While Russians are dropping like sacks of meat to capture piles of rubble Ukraine will have the capability to replenish existing units and form new ones. And U.S aid is going to help compensate for the current manpower issues.

[Twinblade★ 3,931]

The UK's estimates of Russian casualties actually lines up almost perfectly with Ukraine's. The number will hit 500K within the next 1.5-2 months, possibly earlier if the meat waves continue at the current tempo