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predicting MS' exit from gaming


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- the next Xbox generation after Series will be the last

 

- it is already chaos at MS with longstanding and repeat failure to manage AAA projects

 

- incorporating activison and blizzard will create a blood bath of Senior VPs gunning for each other

 

- many studios and practically all support staff at Bethesda and Activision will get the axe before the end of this generation

 

- major talent at all aquired studios will leave, form new teams, etc. MS acquisitions will amount to more IP than coherent teams.

 

- In the end Series doesn't do much better than One, and S is a particular disaster

 

- MS will try to jump the gun on the next generation with a single, powerful system that is very affordable, significant losses per console sold

 

- again their software won't be ready for year 1 and the internal culture is an outright war

 

- most English speakers wait for playstation 6 and the rest of the world doesn't give a shit about Xbox

 

- blizzard goes independent

 

- Xbox 6 doesn't do any better than the last 2, when ps6 comes out, it feels out of step similar to Dreamcast.

 

- MS Corp is raking in profits in other areas, cloud computing, ai, maybe some overlapping competitive areas like AR and next generation smart tvs with gpu inside

 

- Xbox is a low profit area and a high risk with many expensive projects ending in failure

 

- Gamepass library deteriorates and subs decline

 

- MS does not make a 7th generation Xbox and exits the game industry

 

:kaz: This is the most likely scenario

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I have an alternate prediction.

 

Horsepower will matter less and less because fewer and fewer publishers will be able to capitalize on that horsepower due to production costs. We're already seeing that become a significant issue. It will then reach a point where it doesn't make sense to even make high-end systems. At that point it will come down to IPs and hardware gimmicks. MS will keep buying up big studios, Nintendo will keep up it's culture of software excellence and hit-and-miss hardware gimmicks, and Sony, having nothing left to offer except similar but slightly less soulless games than Ubi, will then die.

 

Death, sugarhigh. The cold grave. No one will come to save Sony. In the coming night, in the dark.

 

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3 hours ago, Saucer said:

I have an alternate prediction.

 

Horsepower will matter less and less because fewer and fewer publishers will be able to capitalize on that horsepower due to production costs. We're already seeing that become a significant issue. It will then reach a point where it doesn't make sense to even make high-end systems. At that point it will come down to IPs and hardware gimmicks. MS will keep buying up big studios, Nintendo will keep up it's culture of software excellence and hit-and-miss hardware gimmicks, and Sony, having nothing left to offer except similar but slightly less soulless games than Ubi, will then die.

 

Death, sugarhigh. The cold grave. No one will come to save Sony. In the coming night, in the dark.

 

 

Wrong bitch. Tools keep getting better:

 

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7 minutes ago, Voidler said:

No reason MS will go anywhere unless their Azure and Windows markets fall apart and they start bleeding money somehow

 

They've shown they can blow 10s of billions on Xbox without blinking an eye

Xbox makes profit & is one of the most popular names attached to Microsoft (for positive or negative) 

 

it’s one of their most recognizable platforms. It’s going no where. 

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1 minute ago, Voidler said:

No reason MS will go anywhere unless their Azure and Windows markets fall apart and they start bleeding money somehow

 

They've shown they can blow 10s of billions on Xbox without blinking an eye

In general MS is a tech company selling tools to businesses. They're not strong as an entertainment/production studio. When Xbox was conceived it seemed important to "win" the race for a computer in the living room. That was 6 years before the iphone. Now that fight isn't so strategically important, and anyway they lost. The real winners are smart tvs where MS has no foothold.

 

 

Screenshot_20230401-011155.png

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4 minutes ago, sugarhigh said:

In general MS is a tech company selling tools to businesses. They're not strong as an entertainment/production studio. When Xbox was conceived it seemed important to "win" the race for a computer in the living room. That was 6 years before the iphone. Now that fight isn't so strategically important, and anyway they lost. The real winners are smart tvs where MS has no foothold.

 

 

Screenshot_20230401-011155.png

It’s making money. Lol. 

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4 hours ago, Saucer said:

I have an alternate prediction.

 

Horsepower will matter less and less because fewer and fewer publishers will be able to capitalize on that horsepower due to production costs. We're already seeing that become a significant issue. It will then reach a point where it doesn't make sense to even make high-end systems. At that point it will come down to IPs and hardware gimmicks. MS will keep buying up big studios, Nintendo will keep up it's culture of software excellence and hit-and-miss hardware gimmicks, and Sony, having nothing left to offer except similar but slightly less soulless games than Ubi, will then die.

 

Death, sugarhigh. The cold grave. No one will come to save Sony. In the coming night, in the dark.

 

 

this was your prediction for the ps4 generation :hest:  

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4 hours ago, Jerrys Hair Line said:

Xbox makes profit & is one of the most popular names attached to Microsoft (for positive or negative) 

 

it’s one of their most recognizable platforms. It’s going no where. 

 

No its not... Lol

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I predict a lot of games will start to be created with AI assistances and games will become more generic as the creative input of humans becomes diminished in the process.

 

Small studios will be able to handle projects on a scale they couldn't before. The production times will also be shortened, meaning there will be more content than ever flowing in the market.

 

A sea of generic games and new IPs will come forth and the gaming landscape will slowly start to resemble the smartphone market now. A pile of forgettable IPs, what used to be popular during our times will slowly start to be forgotten and seen as old timers artifacts, only a few weirdo collectors will care and very few of the known IPs will survive in the future. Only the companies with very strong brands like Nintendo will keep existing but will also be massively different than what we know from them now. New and bigger competitors will come forth as market leaders. 

 

Gaming is destined to implode and wither away in the most generic, creatively bankrupted way possible.

 

New technology will also replace the regular gaming that we know on a monitor. VR/AR games created by AIs will be more popular, and using your hands as controllers will be standard, you will have virtual dashboards instead of controllers.

 

The future sucks. Be glad you'll die. 

 

 

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