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Switch Will Outsell PS4 Worldwide Next Year, Xbox One Will Be Third - Strategy Analytics Prediction


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Saving Private Butthurt, over here.

Congrats on the massive sales to come sheep

It will never reaches PS4 current sales unless it gets new, enticing revisions.

 

I think right now it's mostly selling to his core audience and portable gaming market. Once it reach saturation point of that fanbase, sales will significantly slow down.

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3 minutes ago, Ramza said:

It will never reaches PS4 current sales unless it gets new, enticing revisions.

 

I think right now it's mostly selling to his core audience and portable gaming market. Once it reach saturation point of that fanbase, sales will significantly slow down.

I can see the multiplat appeal dropping a lot when next-gen hits, right now it's gimped but kinda accceptable. When next-gen hits, not so much at least for that segment.

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Just now, Team 2019 said:

I can see the multiplat appeal dropping a lot when next-gen hits, right now it's gimped but kinda accceptable. When next-gen hits, not so much at least for that segment.

Without indies Switch would have almost no support, or very minimal at best. The hardware barrier is already in full effect.

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1 hour ago, Ramza said:

It will never reaches PS4 current sales unless it gets new, enticing revisions.

 

I think right now it's mostly selling to his core audience and portable gaming market. Once it reach saturation point of that fanbase, sales will significantly slow down.

The OP didn't frame the thread properly. 

 

The Analyst's prediction is that it will outsell it for the year..... not that it would pass PS4 lifetime total.... They predicted 17.9 to 17.1....

 

 

 

For 2018 Switch and PS4 are neck and neck WW... could go either way.  So saying it will outsell it in 2019 is not a stretch.  iy could go either way. 

 

Switch has reach mass market appeal, projected 38 million in two years and projected over 50 million in only 3 years means its selling beyond the "core fanbase" 

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25 minutes ago, lynux3 said:

When next generation consoles release that'll be it for Switch outside of Japan. Switch is basically the new handheld in Japan and 3DS is on its way out.

so in two years from now? lol

 

Switch will be almost 4 years by then. NVidia should have a new Tegra SOC by then for the Switch 2.

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Just now, Goukosan said:

so in two years from now? lol

 

Switch will be almost 4 years by then. NVidia should have a new Tegra SOC by then for the Switch 2.

What makes you think Nintendo would be opting for a new Tegra SoC? The Switch right now doesn't even use a new Tegra SoC. The X1 came out in 2015.

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Switch doesn't just become automatically obsolete when next-gen hits.  The first 1-2 years of next-gen are going to be remaster-fests, just like this gen was, and even then Switch is still a hybrid console.  The value proposition is completely different.  If power becomes an issue, they can just shift the marketing to make it a dedicated handheld that also plays on your television.

 

Nobody stopped buying handhelds because the PS360 or the PS4/Xbone (lol) released.

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33 minutes ago, lynux3 said:

What makes you think Nintendo would be opting for a new Tegra SoC? The Switch right now doesn't even use a new Tegra SoC. The X1 came out in 2015.

that was the newest consumer Tegra SoC when Switch was being developed. 

 

The X2 wasn't finalized when Switch was in development. 

 System released early 2017, but while in development  (2015) the X1 was the available chip.  

 

The X2 is rumored to be what will power the Switch pro. 

 

 

 

So it stands to reason that whenever the Switch 2 releases, be 2020 or 2021 it will use whatever else is on the Tegra road map and not the same chip as a Switch 1 pro. 

 

Switch - X1

Switch Pro - X2

Switch 2 - Whatever is next for Tegra. 

 

 

Edited by Goukosan
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I don't think a Switch Pro is going to use an X2.  If we take previous revisions that Nintendo has made as an example, it'll be an overclocked X1 or something, maybe a larger screen size and better battery life.  Otherwise its primary function will be to clamp down on the piracy scene.

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6 minutes ago, Goukosan said:

that was the newest consumer Tegra SoC when Switch was being developed. 

 

The X2 wasn't finalized when Switch was in development. 

 System released early 2017, but while in development  (2015) the X1 was the available chip.  

 

The X2 is rumored to be what will power the Switch pro. 

 

 

 

So it stands to reason that whenever the Switch 2 releases, be 2020 or 2021 it will use whatever else is on the Tegra road map and not the same chip as a Switch 1 pro. 

 

Switch - X1

Switch Pro - X2

Switch 2 - Whatever is next for Tegra. 

 

 

X2 was launched in 2016.

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4 minutes ago, McWickedSmawt85 said:

I don't think a Switch Pro is going to use an X2.  If we take previous revisions that Nintendo has made as an example, it'll be an overclocked X1 or something, maybe a larger screen size and better battery life.  Otherwise its primary function will be to clamp down on the piracy scene.

You can't just overclock an X1 and call it a day. That requires more power they need to move away from X1 to get the performance enhancements and power reductions from newer technology.

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1 minute ago, lynux3 said:

X2 was launched in 2016.

and Switch finished development in 2016. 

 

So delay the system another year to develop the NVN APIs for X2,  to R&D the power consumption for a portable and to Mass produce X2 for launch lol

 

Everything is pointing to a Switch revision in 2019 with X2. 

 

The Switch 2 will use something else. 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, lynux3 said:

You can't just overclock an X1 and call it a day. That requires more power they need to move away from X1 to get the performance enhancements and power reductions from newer technology.

"...or something".  The point is they'd make marginal improvements with the aim being to clamp down on piracy.

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